{"id":1663,"date":"2022-08-28T12:58:19","date_gmt":"2022-08-28T12:58:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wahlkampfanalyse.ch\/?p=1663"},"modified":"2022-08-28T12:58:19","modified_gmt":"2022-08-28T12:58:19","slug":"neue-publikation-auf-defacto-expert-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/louisperron.com\/de\/neue-publikation-auf-defacto-expert-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Neue Publikation auf DeFacto.Expert"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Letzte Woche wurde eine neue Umfrage zu den eidgen\u00f6ssischen Wahlen 2023 publiziert. Ich habe kurz gez\u00f6gert, deswegen das Thema meines w\u00f6chentlichen Blogbeitrages zu \u00e4ndern. Aber dann habe ich gedacht: macht es Sinn, \u00fcber Ver\u00e4nderungen beim W\u00e4hleranteil von plus\/minus 1.X% zu spekulieren? Bei der H\u00e4lfte der Parteien liegen die Ver\u00e4nderungen innerhalb des angegebenen Stichprobenfehlerbereiches (wenn man denn bei einer opt-in Umfrage \u00fcberhaupt von Strichprobenfehlerbereich sprechen will).<\/p>\n<p>Und ganz allgemein interesiert mich pers\u00f6nlich die Akteurperspektive mehr als die Prognose: was k\u00f6nnen oder m\u00fcssten Parteien tun, um das Wahlresultat zu beeinflussen? In diesem Sinn m\u00f6chte ich gerne auf eine neue Publikation von mir auf der politikwissenschaftlichen Transferplattform DeFacto hinweisen. Es geht im Beitrag darum, wie man Abstimmungsk\u00e4mpfe gewinnt. Sie finden ihn <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defacto.expert\/2022\/08\/27\/comment-gagner-des-votations\/?lang=fr\">hier<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Letzte Woche wurde eine neue Umfrage zu den eidgen\u00f6ssischen Wahlen 2023 publiziert. Ich habe kurz gez\u00f6gert, deswegen das Thema meines w\u00f6chentlichen Blogbeitrages zu \u00e4ndern. Aber dann habe ich gedacht: macht es Sinn, \u00fcber Ver\u00e4nderungen beim W\u00e4hleranteil von plus\/minus 1.X% zu spekulieren? Bei der H\u00e4lfte der Parteien liegen die Ver\u00e4nderungen innerhalb des angegebenen Stichprobenfehlerbereiches (wenn man [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[203],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-german-blog"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Neue Publikation auf DeFacto.Expert - Dr. Louis Perron<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/louisperron.com\/de\/neue-publikation-auf-defacto-expert-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Neue Publikation auf DeFacto.Expert - Dr. Louis Perron\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Letzte Woche wurde eine neue Umfrage zu den eidgen\u00f6ssischen Wahlen 2023 publiziert. 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