Democratic National Convention: Tim Kaine is Hillary’s pick for VP

author
Dr. Louis Perron
blog post louis

After the Republicans it’s now the Democrats’ turn to hold their convention. An important goal for the party to accomplish is to show unity. Bernie Sander’s fiery speech on Monday night was an important piece in that puzzle.

The convention is also the opportunity to further introduce Tim Kaine, Hillary Clinton’s pick for Vice President. Especially with respect to the electoral map, it’s an interesting choice. Kaine is former governor and now senator from the state of Virginia, a swing-state that plays a crucial role. It’s difficult for a Republican candidate to get to the needed 270 electoral votes without winning Virginia. Based on recent surveys, Clinton is running slightly ahead of Trump there. Political scientists have long tried to measure the impact of a vice presidential candidate on the ticket in the VP’s home state. As a rule of thumb, consensus is that a popular running mate can boost the ticket by about 2% in his state. If this turns out to be true this time, these 2% in Virginia could prove critical for Hillary.

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