The Current Dynamics of the U.S. Presidential Campaign: Referendum on Donald Trump

Dr. Louis Perron
blog post louis

Do you want to know why Hillary Clinton has gained ground in the surveys during the past weeks? Because the dynamics of the public debate have turned into a referendum on Donald Trump. Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have record-high negative ratings. As a result of this, whoever is the main focus of the debate will lose. If this will become a referendum on whether or not Donald Trump should be president of the USA, Hillary Clinton will win. Hence why she’s now ahead in the surveys. This could change, however, when a new Clinton scandal breaks or if her past controversies will become the focus of the campaign again.

Read more about this point here (in German):

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